Impact
The different investments and actions that make up the Aerospace PERTE are designed to generate remarkably positive impacts of different nature. Among all of them, it is worth highlighting the strengthening and training of the Spanish aerospace industry, which will contribute to increasing its competitiveness and improving its positioning in the global environment in which it operates.
Según Oxford Economics, la tasa de retorno social generada por programas aeronáuticos de I+D+I en el PIB es del 70 % anual. Esto significa que por cada 100 euros invertidos en I+D+I aeronáutica, en 10 años el PIB se incrementa en 700 euros. Dado que el sector aeronáutico supone el 77,4 % del sector aeroespacial, es razonable asumir una tasa de retorno social similar para el conjunto de la actividad de I+D+I aeroespacial.
Aplicando la citada tasa de retorno social de Oxford Economics a la inversión total en I+D+I aeroespacial de 4534 M € inducida por este PERTE se estima en 10 años un incremento del PIB de 31 735,6 M €. Assuming an annual growth of 2% in GDP over these 10 years, the impact on GDP of the aerospace EERP is estimated at 0.22%.
The impact on direct employment of PERTE’s total investment of 4534 M € is estimated, considering the TEDEA direct turnover/direct employment ratio in 1899 high-skilled jobs (R+D+I and related activities).
To this figure could be added, in the long term, another amount of employment derived from the estimated increase in GDP of 31 735.6 M € induced by the PERTE. Considering the economic impact ratio of the 2020 TEDAE turnover/total employment of the KPMG report doubling in 10 years, an employment impact of 14 079 jobs would result, of which 4607 would be direct and 9471 indirect.